China’s ‘Anaconda Strategy’ Tightens Grip on Taiwan

Beijing is systematically increasing pressure on Taiwan through a multifaceted strategy that military officials describe as the “Anaconda Strategy,” aimed at compelling Taipei to accept reunification as inevitable. Although the situation around Taiwan has been relatively stable compared to global conflicts like those in Ukraine, this calm may be deceptive. Chinese military activities are intensifying, with a marked increase in air and naval incursions near Taiwan, raising concerns about a potential blockade or cyber warfare aimed at crippling Taiwan’s economy and communications.

Intensifying Military Presence

Taiwanese officials report a significant rise in Chinese military activities, with air incursions across the median line in the Taiwan Strait increasing over five-fold in recent months, from 36 in January to 193 in August. Naval vessels operating around Taiwan have also doubled, from 142 to 282 in the same timeframe. These exercises are becoming more sophisticated, involving joint operations among the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) branches, indicating preparations for a potential blockade or amphibious assault.

Economic and Psychological Warfare

As part of its strategy, China aims to undermine Taiwan’s defenses and morale. A potential cyberattack could disrupt communications and infrastructure, isolating Taiwan from vital supplies like energy and food. The Foundation for Defense of Democracies notes that while Taiwan has made strides in developing green energy, such systems could be vulnerable to enemy attacks during a conflict, exacerbating energy shortages.

Historical Context and Future Risks

Since Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party assumed power in 2016, China’s military drills have escalated to pressure the island and assert its military capabilities to global observers. The drills often coincide with significant political events in Taiwan, such as high-profile foreign visits. This ongoing strategy risks straining Taiwan’s naval resources, with more than half of its warships behind on maintenance and heavy deployment required for Chinese drills. Taiwan’s government has started limiting public information about military activities to maintain morale, highlighting the growing anxiety surrounding the potential for a future confrontation.