India’s Merchandise Exports Jump 7.3% in July; Trade Deficit Widens

India’s merchandise trade witnessed notable growth in July 2025, with exports rising by 7.3% to $37.24 billion, driven by strong performances in key sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, and engineering goods. However, this export boost came alongside a sharp rise in imports, leading to a widened trade deficit, which touched an eight-month high of $27.35 billion, according to provisional data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.

July 2025: Sector-Wise Export Performance

Strong Export Sectors

India’s exports in July were primarily driven by,

  • Engineering goods
  • Gems and jewellery
  • Electronics
  • Pharmaceuticals

Organic and inorganic chemicals

  • Among these, electronic goods emerged as a standout performer, registering a 34% increase, from $2.81 billion in July 2024 to $3.77 billion in July 2025.
  • This signals India’s strengthening position in high-tech manufacturing and digital trade, supported by government initiatives like PLI (Production Linked Incentive) schemes.

Import Surge and Trade Deficit

While exports grew, imports rose even faster—by 8.6%, reaching $64.59 billion in July. This sharp increase pushed the trade deficit to $27.35 billion, the highest in the past eight months.

Why Imports Increased?

  • Continued demand for crude oil and energy resources
  • Imports of machinery and industrial inputs for domestic production
  • Rising global commodity prices impacting the import bill
  • Despite positive export momentum, this rising trade imbalance reflects the vulnerability of India’s external sector to global price movements and supply chain costs.

April–July 2025: Cumulative Trade Overview

From April to July 2025, the first four months of the current financial year,

  • Merchandise exports reached $149.20 billion
  • Merchandise imports stood at $244.01 billion
  • This data shows a persistent trade gap, though overall export figures remain encouraging in a volatile global economic environment.

Goods and Services: Combined Export Growth

The total exports of goods and services during the April–July period are estimated at $277.63 billion, recording a 5.23% growth over the same period last year. This combined growth reflects the resilience of India’s trade sector amid changing global demand trends and supply chain pressures.

Significance and Policy Implications

Why It Matters

  • Export growth is crucial for India’s GDP, job creation, and foreign exchange reserves.
  • The electronics export boom signals India’s growing role in the global tech supply chain.
  • However, the rising trade deficit raises concerns about import dependency, especially in energy and capital goods.

Policy Directions

  • Continue diversifying export markets and upgrading export infrastructure.
  • Boost domestic production of import-intensive goods to reduce trade gaps.
  • Encourage value-added manufacturing, especially in sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and chemicals.
Shivam

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