SBI Research Projects India’s FY26 GDP Growth at 7.5%: Key Highlights of Ecowrap Report

India’s economic growth outlook received a positive push as the State Bank of India (SBI) Economic Research Department projected that India’s GDP growth for FY 2025–26 (FY26) will be 7.5% (with an upward bias). This projection was published in SBI’s well-known Ecowrap report released on January 7, 2026.

Notably, SBI’s estimate is slightly higher than the 7.4% First Advance Estimate given by the National Statistical Office (NSO), and also above the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projection of 7.3% for the same fiscal year. This makes the report an important current affairs topic for UPSC, SSC, Banking, Railways, and State PSC exams.

Exam Hints (Quick Revision)

  • What? SBI projects India’s GDP growth at 7.5% for FY26
  • By Whom? State Bank of India (SBI) Economic Research Department
  • Report Name: Ecowrap Report
  • NSO Estimate: 7.4% (First Advance Estimates)
  • RBI Projection: 7.3%

Why SBI’s Projection Matters

SBI’s report explained an important observation: the difference between the RBI’s estimate and NSO’s advance estimate generally remains within 20–30 basis points (bps).

Key takeaway:

  • SBI stated that NSO’s 7.4% estimate for FY26 is expected and reasonable, and therefore SBI’s 7.5% forecast fits well within the usual variation range.
  • This analysis strengthens the credibility of the projection and signals continued economic momentum.

India GDP Overview (FY26)

Real GDP Estimate

According to the NSO:

  • Real GDP: ₹201.90 lakh crore
  • Growth Rate: 7.4% in FY26

This indicates strong performance in core economic activity after adjusting for inflation.

Nominal GDP Projection

Nominal GDP (includes inflation effect) is expected to rise faster:

  • Nominal GDP Growth: 8.0%
  • Nominal GDP Value: ₹357.13–₹357.14 lakh crore

Nominal GDP matters greatly for government budgeting, tax revenues, fiscal deficit calculations, and policy planning.

Comparison: SBI vs NSO vs RBI

Institution FY26 GDP Growth Projection
SBI (Ecowrap Report) 7.5%
NSO (First Advance Estimate) 7.4%
RBI 7.3%

This comparison is highly useful for exam MCQs and interview discussions.

Sumit Arora

As a team lead and current affairs writer at Adda247, I am responsible for researching and producing engaging, informative content designed to assist candidates in preparing for national and state-level competitive government exams. I specialize in crafting insightful articles that keep aspirants updated on the latest trends and developments in current affairs. With a strong emphasis on educational excellence, my goal is to equip readers with the knowledge and confidence needed to excel in their exams. Through well-researched and thoughtfully written content, I strive to guide and support candidates on their journey to success.

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