In December 2023, the Wholesale Price Index (WPI)-based inflation surged to a nine-month high of 0.73%, marking a significant rebound from the negative zone observed from April to October. This positive trajectory, a continuation from November’s 0.26%, was primarily driven by notable increases in food prices, according to a statement by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
Food Prices Propel Inflation: The spike in WPI inflation is attributed to a sharp rise in prices of food articles, machinery & equipment, other manufacturing, other transport equipment, and computer, electronics & optical products.
RBI’s Cautionary Stance: In response to the inflationary trends, the Reserve Bank, in its bi-monthly monetary policy last month, maintained interest rates, flagging concerns over the escalating food inflation observed in November and December.
1. WPI Surge: In December 2023, Wholesale Price Index (WPI)-based inflation hit a nine-month high at 0.73%, signaling a rebound from negative figures earlier in the year.
2. Driving Forces: The upswing is primarily attributed to significant increases in food prices, machinery, manufacturing, transport equipment, and electronics, according to the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
3. Food Inflation Peaks: Food inflation rose to 9.38%, with vegetables and pulses experiencing substantial hikes of 26.30% and 19.60%, respectively.
4. CPI Highlight: Concurrently, Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached a four-month high at 5.69% for December, emphasizing broader inflationary trends.
5. RBI’s Caution: The Reserve Bank, in its recent bi-monthly policy, maintained interest rates, citing concerns about rising food inflation in November and December.
6. Policy Implications: The data underscores the need for vigilant economic policy management, especially in addressing the challenges posed by food price volatility.
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