India’s Growth Seen at 6.9% in FY27 Despite Global Pressures: Ind-Ra

India’s economy is expected to grow at 6.9 per cent in FY27, according to a recent projection by Indian Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra). The estimate suggests a moderation from 7.4 per cent growth in FY26, mainly due to global uncertainties. However, strong domestic reforms, stable inflation, and continued capital spending are likely to help India remain resilient despite external challenges.

Why in News?

Indian Ratings & Research has projected India’s GDP growth at 6.9% for FY27. The forecast highlights domestic reforms cushioning global risks like US tariffs.

Growth Outlook for FY27

• This section explains the expected moderation in economic growth.
• GDP growth projected at 6.9% in FY27, lower than FY26
• High base effect from strong FY26 growth
• Global slowdown and weak trade affecting momentum
• Domestic Reforms Supporting the Economy
• This part highlights reforms helping absorb external shocks.
• Income tax cuts in FY26 budget boosting disposable income

GST Rationalization (2025) improving efficiency

• Trade deals with UK, Oman, New Zealand aiding exports
• Consumption and Investment Trends
• This section focuses on demand-side developments.
• Rural demand resilient due to strong agricultural growth
• Urban consumption remains relatively weak
• Capital expenditure and housing support investment

Inflation and External Risks

• This section explains price trends and future risks.
• Inflation outlook for FY26-FY27 remains benign
• Stable food prices supporting real wages
• Risks from El Niño, weak currency, and global trade

Key Summary at a Glance

Question

Q1. According to Indian Ratings & Research, India’s GDP growth for FY27 is projected at:
A. 6.1%
B. 6.5%
C. 6.9%
D. 7.4%