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India Inc’s Investment Slump Persists in FY24’s First Nine Months: Bank of Baroda Analysis

India’s corporate sector investment in the first nine months (9M) of FY24, totaling ₹10.80 lakh crore, has raised concerns as it lags behind expectations, according to Bank of Baroda’s Economic Research Department (ERD). The analysis, relying on CMIE data, indicates a cautious approach among industries, with a particular focus on aviation, chemicals, machinery, and power sectors.

Investment Trends

  • FY24 investments stand at ₹10.80 lakh crore, notably lower compared to ₹21.89 lakh crore in 9MFY22 and ₹13.22 lakh crore in 9MFY21.
  • The latest data, excluding the pandemic-hit 2020, reveals the lowest investment figures, emphasizing a hesitancy in the industry.
  • Q3 FY24 witnessed a slight uptick at ₹2.15 lakh crore, yet considerably below the figures from the past 10 quarters.

Sectoral Biases

  • The services sector dominates with 49% of investment intentions, primarily driven by the aviation sector.
  • Manufacturing contributes 28%, with chemicals and machinery holding substantial shares of 42% and 19%, respectively.
  • The power sector maintains a 21% share, indicating a sectoral bias in investment trends.

Challenges Ahead

  • Government companies’ share in new investments reduced to 20.7%.
  • Excess capacity in various sectors and election uncertainties for the upcoming year are identified as factors hindering investment revival.
  • High interest rates and expectations of repo rate cuts in the second quarter of the fiscal year also contribute to the cautious investment environment.

Important Questions Related to Exams

  1. What is the total amount of investments made by India Inc in the first nine months of FY24, and how does it compare to the previous fiscal years?
  2. According to the analysis by Bank of Baroda’s ERD, which sectors show biases in investment intentions, and why?
  3. How does the investment trend in Q3 of FY24 compare to the preceding quarters, and what factors contribute to the hesitancy in the industry?

Please provide your answers in the comment section!!

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