India should set an ambitious target of achieving $500 billion in electronics manufacturing by 2030, as stated in a recent NITI Aayog report. This goal includes $350 billion from finished goods manufacturing and $150 billion from component manufacturing. Currently, India’s electronics production totals $101 billion, with $86 billion from finished goods and $15 billion from components.
The report, titled “Electronics: Powering India’s Participation in Global Value Chains,” also forecasts that India’s electronics exports could reach $240 billion, with domestic value addition expected to surpass 35%.
Current Scenario and Growth Potential
As of FY23, India’s electronics sector has reached $101 billion, up from $48 billion in FY17. The sector is driven primarily by mobile phone production, which constitutes 43% of total electronics production. India’s electronics manufacturing primarily involves the final assembly of electronic goods, with significant room for growth in components and design capabilities.
Employment and Export Projections
In a business-as-usual scenario, projections indicate that India’s electronics manufacturing could escalate to $278 billion by FY30, including $253 billion from finished goods and $25 billion from components. Employment is expected to grow to around 3.4 million, with exports reaching $111 billion. By aiming for $500 billion in electronics manufacturing, the sector could create up to 6 million jobs.
Strategic Recommendations
The report recommends strategic interventions across fiscal, financial, regulatory, and infrastructure domains to support this growth. Key recommendations include promoting components and capital goods manufacturing, incentivizing R&D and design, tariff rationalization, skilling initiatives, technology transfers, and infrastructure development. These measures are crucial to fostering a robust electronics manufacturing ecosystem in India.
Enhancing Competitiveness
To enhance competitiveness, India needs to localize high-tech components, strengthen design capabilities through R&D investments, and forge strategic partnerships with global technology leaders. This strategic diversification into emerging areas such as wearables, IoT devices, and automotive electronics will position India as a leader in innovative electronic products on the global stage.
Global Context and India’s Position
The global electronics market, valued at $4.3 trillion, is dominated by countries like China, Taiwan, the US, South Korea, Vietnam, and Malaysia. Despite having a 4% share of global demand, India currently exports only $25 billion annually, representing less than 1% of the global share. The report emphasizes the need for India to scale up production in established segments and diversify into emerging areas to increase its global share.