India witnessed marginal growth in exports and a notable rise in imports in March 2025. The trade deficit for the month widened to $21.54 billion, reflecting pressure on the current account. For the fiscal year 2024–25, merchandise exports showed almost stagnant growth, while overall trade, including services, saw a moderate increase, indicating resilience in service exports despite global uncertainties.
Key Highlights
March 2025 Trade Data
- Exports: Grew by 0.7% year-on-year to $41.97 billion.
- Imports: Rose by 11.3% to $63.51 billion.
- Trade Deficit: Widened to $21.54 billion, up due to a sharper increase in imports.
Full Fiscal Year 2024–25 (April 2024–March 2025)
- Cumulative Exports (Goods): $437.42 billion, 0.08% increase YoY.
- Cumulative Imports (Goods): $720.24 billion, a 6.62% rise YoY.
- Overall Exports (Goods + Services): Rose 5.5% to $820.93 billion.
- Overall Trade Deficit: Remained high due to increasing import demand.
Reasons for the Trade Trends
- Moderate Global Demand: Affected India’s goods exports.
- Import Surge: Higher imports of energy, electronics, and industrial inputs.
- Services Sector: Continued to be a strong contributor to total export growth.
- High Base Effect: Export figures were compared against a strong March 2024.
Implications for Economy
- Widening trade deficit can pressure the current account deficit (CAD).
- Increased import bills may affect foreign exchange reserves.
- Need for export diversification and import substitution policies.