Who will win the ICC Champions Trophy 2025?

The ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is set to be one of the most thrilling cricket tournaments of the year. Co-hosted by Pakistan and the UAE, the tournament features the top eight ODI teams battling for supremacy. With teams like India, Australia, England, Pakistan, South Africa, New Zealand, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh in the mix, predicting the winner is a tough task.

As the final approaches, cricket fans worldwide are eager to see whether India or New Zealand will claim the prestigious trophy. Let’s analyze the teams, their strengths, key players, and the match conditions to predict who has the best chance of lifting the ICC Champions Trophy 2025.

Road to the Final – India vs New Zealand

Both India and New Zealand have displayed exceptional performances throughout the tournament, securing their place in the grand final at Dubai International Stadium on March 9, 2025.

India’s Journey to the Final

• Group Stage: India topped their group with dominant wins over New Zealand, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
• Semi-Final: India defeated Australia in a thrilling chase, winning by 4 wickets.
• Key Performers: Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma, Shami, and Varun Chakravarti played crucial roles in India’s success.

New Zealand’s Journey to the Final

• Group Stage: New Zealand displayed a solid all-round performance, beating Pakistan and Bangladesh but facing defeat against India.
• Semi-Final: New Zealand crushed South Africa by 50 runs, thanks to a remarkable batting display.
• Key Players: Kane Williamson and Mitchell Santner have been instrumental in their victories.

India vs New Zealand – Team Strengths and Weaknesses

India’s Strengths

1. Powerful Batting Line-up: With Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Shubman Gill, and KL Rahul, India boasts one of the strongest batting orders.
2. Balanced Bowling Attack: Mohammed Shami, Hardik Pandya and Kuldeep Yadav provide an excellent mix of pace and spin.
3. Experience in High-Pressure Matches: India has consistently performed well in ICC tournament finals.

India’s Weaknesses

1. Dependence on Top Order: If early wickets fall, the middle order will need to step up.
2. Handling Swing Conditions: If the UAE pitches favor swing, India’s batsmen might struggle against New Zealand’s pace attack.

New Zealand’s Strengths

1. Strong Leadership: Kane Williamson is known for his tactical brilliance in knockout matches.
2. Well-Balanced All-Rounders: Mitchell Santner and Kane Williamson provide depth in both batting and bowling.

New Zealand’s Weaknesses

1. Inconsistent Middle Order: Their batting order has been shaky at times, struggling to accelerate in the middle overs.
2. Over-Reliance on Bowling: If India’s batsmen dominate, New Zealand might find it difficult to chase a big total.

Match Conditions – How Will the Pitch & Weather Impact the Final?

Venue: Dubai International Stadium

The Dubai pitch traditionally favors batting in the first innings but offers assistance to spinners later in the match. Dew could also play a role, making chasing easier under lights.

Weather Conditions

• The weather is expected to be clear and warm, ensuring a full 50-over contest without interruptions.
• Dew in the second innings could help teams batting second.

Head-to-Head Record – India vs New Zealand in ICC Tournaments

• ODI Head-to-Head: India and New Zealand have faced each other 116 times, with India leading.
• ICC Knockout Matches: New Zealand has historically troubled India in ICC tournaments, including the 2019 World Cup semi-final win.
• Champions Trophy History: India last won the tournament in 2013, while New Zealand’s only victory came in 2000.