Rating agency Moody’s has revised downwards the economic growth forecast of India by 40 basis points to 9.1 per cent in the Calendar Year 2022 (CY2022), due to adverse effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the global economy. Earlier in February 2022, Moody’s estimated India’s GDP in CY2022 to 9.5 percent. Moody’s has projected India’s GDP growth forecast for the Calendar Year (CY) 2023 at 5.4 percent.
Moody’s, in a statement, said India is particularly vulnerable to high oil prices given that it is a large importer of crude oil. Because the country is a surplus producer of grain, agricultural exports will benefit in the short term from high prevailing prices.