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Fitch Forecasts Strong Growth for Asia Pacific Emerging Markets in 2024

Fitch Ratings released its report ‘APAC Cross-Sector Outlook 2024’, affirming robust economic growth in the Asia Pacific region. The forecast highlights a 5% GDP growth in India and various emerging markets, indicating positive trends in the banking sectors of India and Indonesia.

Economic Resilience and Growth Projections

Fitch anticipates a sustained economic upswing in Asia Pacific, with GDP set to expand by or above 5% in key nations such as India, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam. Notably, China is expected to maintain a strong performance relative to global standards. The Indian economy, which grew by 7.2% in the 2022-23 fiscal year, is projected to achieve GDP growth rates of 6.9% and 6.5% in the current fiscal year and 2024-25, respectively.

Sector Outlook and Challenges

The report acknowledges headwinds from slower Chinese growth, weakened global demand, and increased interest rates. Despite these challenges, Fitch’s outlook for most sectors in the Asia Pacific region remains neutral in 2024. Sino-US tensions, though recently eased, are expected to persist, prompting companies to diversify supply chains to mitigate geopolitical risks.

Important Questions Related to Exams

  1. What is the projected GDP growth in India and several emerging markets in the Asia Pacific region for the year 2024, according to Fitch Ratings?

  2. How does Fitch assess the outlook for the banking sectors in India and Indonesia in its ‘APAC Cross-Sector Outlook 2024’ report?
  3. What factors does Fitch highlight as potential headwinds for sectors in the Asia Pacific region in 2024, despite the overall positive outlook?
  4. According to Fitch Ratings Senior Director Duncan Innes-Ker, what role does robust regional economic growth play in supporting sector performance across Asia Pacific in 2024?

Please provide your answers in the comment section!!

 

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