The National Statistical Office (NSO) has released its first advance estimates projecting a robust 7.3% growth for India’s GDP in the fiscal year 2023-24. This surpasses the 7.2% growth recorded in the previous financial year. Notably, the construction sector is expected to lead with double-digit growth at 10.7%.
Key Estimates by NSO
- Real GDP at Constant Prices in FY24 is projected to reach ₹171.79 lakh crore, compared to the provisional estimate of ₹160.06 lakh crore for FY23.
- The growth in real GDP is estimated at 7.3%, a slight increase from the 7.2% recorded in FY23.
- Nominal GDP at current prices for FY24 is estimated at ₹296.58 lakh crore, reflecting an 8.9% growth compared to the 16.1% in FY23.
Differing Projections
- The NSO’s projections surpass those of various financial institutions and government bodies, with the RBI recently revising its FY24 GDP growth forecast to 7%, citing high growth observed in October and November 2023.
- SBI Research anticipates an overall growth of around 7%, while the Asian Development Bank and ICRA have raised their economic forecasts to 6.7% and 6.5%, respectively.
Global Perspectives
- S&P predicts India to become the third-largest economy by 2030, emphasizing the need to establish itself as a significant global manufacturing hub.
- The IMF’s 2023 Article IV consultation report notes robust growth in India for the year, projecting a 6.3% growth in real GDP for both FY24 and FY25.
Important Questions Related to Exams
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What is the projected GDP growth rate for India in the fiscal year 2023-24, as per the first advance estimates by the National Statistical Office (NSO)?
- In which sector is double-digit growth expected, according to the NSO’s projections, and what is the specific growth rate anticipated?
- How does the NSO’s GDP growth projections for FY24 compare to estimates provided by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and other financial institutions?
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Provide a brief overview of the global perspectives mentioned in the article regarding India’s economic growth and its positioning on the global stage.
Please provide your answers in the comment section!!